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Work 2050: Three Scenarios

July 13, 2022 by Clara Jöster-Morisse

For Bertelsmann Stiftung:

This project and its publication focusses on three long term scenarios on the future of work in 2050, realized in a project for and with Bertelsmann Stiftung. The scenarios and the publication are based on a Delphi study conducted by The Millennium Project that involved several hundred experts internationally, and across all sectors of expertise. The study builds on previous findings of the publication The Future of Work, and discusses how work may change, and how social life, governance or the economy worldwide will be affected. It also sets out potential options for action from a global perspective. It is available for download here.

These are the three scenarios in a nutshell:

Scenario 1: It’s complicated – a mixed bag: Business as usual: individual states and regions are adapting to the situation differently, sometimes high unemployment, great power of the companies.

Scenario 2: Political/Economic Turmoil – 2050 (Future Despair): Speed of developments surprises almost everyone, rapidly increasing unemployment, social Polarisation, increasing fractalization of order worldwide.

Scenario 3: If Humans were Free: The Self-Actualization Economy: Successful handling of the challenges, taxes on machines finance BGE/UBI, work mainly for self-fulfillment, contribution for the community important.

Image source: Bertelsmann Stiftung and Future Impacts: “Work 2050: Three Scenarios. New Findings of an International Delphi Study of the Millennium Project”, p. 11, Creative Commons Licence (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0), see link above

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